AUTHOR
Lara Brown
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Republican Heart and Soul: The Definitional Battle for the 2012 Presidential Nomination
“In recent history, presidential aspirants win by leading ideological factions to dominate their party, while simultaneously attracting independents to their candidacies.”
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Frontrunners, Dark Horses, and the Presidential Nomination Contest
Frontrunners don’t always win, but presidential nomination contests are rarely wide-open races. Dark horses don’t emerge from the back of the pack. The 2008 winners were in second place in their respective party’s poll.