Ripon Forum


Vol. 60, No. 04

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In this Edition

With the 2026 midterm elections now less than two months away, the latest edition of The Ripon Forum examines the political landscape for Republicans heading into November, the new battleground for candidates in this year’s campaign, and the history of the midterm curse that so often bedevils the incumbent president’s party.

25 Years after 9/11, the Memory of National Unity Still Resonates Today

Our national unity after 9/11 showed what is best in the American spirit, and reminded us what it means to embrace each other as fellow Americans.

Keep the Government Running

The order of Presidential succession can and has been established by statute three times. It’s time to change it again.

The Political Landscape for Republicans Heading into the Fall

Despite the fact that midterm elections are historically difficult for an incumbent president’s party, the outcome of this year’s contest is not a foregone conclusion for the GOP.

Attention is the New Battleground

The communications playbook has been rewritten. Not because television disappeared or newspapers stopped mattering. But because campaigns no longer decide where voters get their information.

The Midterm Curse and the Balance of Power in Washington

Since 1934, the average midterm seat change for the president’s party has been a loss of 27 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives and 3.4 seats in the Senate.

Candidates to Watch in 2026

The Forum recently approached top Republican strategists with a question — who are the GOP candidates Americans will be reading and hearing more about next year?

The Midterms Through the Eyes of Gen Z

The issues that won President Trump significant support from young voters in 2024 are the same ones his leadership will be judged on in 2026.

The Most Important Issue No One is Talking About this Election

When discussing economic threats, most voters aren’t focusing on Social Security. They should be.

The Framers Trusted States, Not Washington, With Elections

The Framers feared that a ruling national faction might someday control elections to seize power.

Websites, Cookies, and the Latest Litigation Gold Rush that Congress Must Stop

Over 5,300 lawsuits are pending claiming that common internet tools violate wiretapping laws.

Ripon Profile of Michael Baumgartner

Michael Baumgartner discusses how the September 11th terrorist attacks set him on a career in public service.

The Framers Trusted States, Not Washington, With Elections

Walter Olson

Article I, Section 4 of the Constitution provides that the legislature of each state shall prescribe the “times, places and manners” of holding elections for the U.S. Congress, “but the Congress may at any time by law make or alter such regulations.” Congress has long used its override powers sparingly, and Republicans in particular have warned against both micromanaging how states do their job and the specter of a federal takeover.  That remains the correct position, for reasons of practicality, election integrity and the safeguarding of the nation’s liberty.

Decentralized election administration is one of the most community-oriented things government does, relying on an army of neighbors as volunteers. Being close to the people helps make it more accountable when something goes wrong. If machines break, supplies run short or there are needlessly long lines at the polls, who will respond faster to your complaints: your elected municipal, county, and state officials, or some distant federal agency?

Decentralized election administration is one of the most community-oriented things government does, relying on an army of neighbors as volunteers.

Local election administration also better fits our nation’s vast diversity. Recently, as Congress has considered bills that would impose one-size-fits-all rules on basic electoral functions – requiring that everyone visit a public office in person to register, for example – there has been pushback from places like Alaska and the rural Southwest where people may live multiple hours away from such an office.  Early, mail and lockbox voting play different roles from one community and the state to the next, depending in part on work, commuting and retirement patterns. Why block needed adaptations to local conditions?

Decentralized administration also guards against a catastrophic single point of nationwide failure in election systems. New voting machines and methods spread piecemeal from one jurisdiction to the next rather than by Washington prescribing that everyone adopt them all at once. That means administrators and vendors learn and adjust by others’ experience, and the whole country doesn’t get committed to someone’s flop idea.

And that’s just the glitch side. We are all aware that election systems get targeted by bad actors, domestic and otherwise, seeking advantage or information. Our diverse and decentralized system is much harder to hack than a single nationwide one would be, with the damage limited and compartmentalized.

America has been a great innovator in the realm of elections, introducing many methods new developments from party primaries to early and mail voting. Some innovations fall by the wayside, while others catch on and become standard. Why trade this ferment of democracy for an arrangement where permission from Washington is required for anything new? Why risk foisting a bad method on everyone because someone in Washington liked it?

Why trade this ferment of democracy for an arrangement where permission from Washington is required for anything new?

Above all, the Framers did it this way because they feared that a ruling national faction, whether based in Congress or a White House, might someday gain power over election administration nationwide and use it to entrench themselves in office. America must steer clear of any Venezuela-style National Electoral Council by which those in power could second-guess – and in the end substitute their own preferred numbers for – locally tabulated results.

For a long time, the Democrats were the party infatuated with centralization here. Only a few years ago they promoted an overreaching omnibus bill numbered H.R. 1 that would have invaded the proper province of the states in many ways, heaped massive burdens on local administrators, and put federal bureaucrats in the driver’s seat. Why did the Republicans forget their own former warnings when they took over?

The current push toward central control is based on alarms about supposedly widespread noncitizen voting and voter impersonation that simply aren’t borne out by the evidence, along with theories about the 2020 election that have been uniformly rejected by courts and disproved by impartial investigation. While there is definitely room to improve ID methods, a measure like the SAVE America Act goes far beyond what any state has chosen to enact voluntarily and demands that it all be done on an unrealistically abbreviated timeline.

None of this is to say Congress cannot use its Constitutional authority to make and alter rules in prudent, targeted ways. It could bring a truce to the gerrymandering wars through a few simple rules – compactness of House districts and respect for the boundaries of political subdivisions, no mid-census redistricting except when required by a court – that would check the interstate race to the bottom.

It’s not that states are somehow perfect or above politics in running elections – the record of American history amply documents their sins. But the danger of gathering the reins into one set of hands is greater. Congress has rightly respected the states’ and localities’ lead role, and it should go on doing so.

Walter Olson is a senior fellow at the Cato Institute and co-chaired several commissions on redistricting and gerrymandering under former Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan. He writes often on election law.